CommandAGI · commandagi.com/augury/track-record

CommandAGI
Open the workbench
Menu
Open the workbenchSign in

Forecasts you can check.

Augury is CommandAGI's forecasting company. Each forecast is sealed before its outcome is known, and the seal's hash goes to the contract's public log. Every round stays here, right or wrong.

Every round

Each question has a rule in words and a check a program runs at its closing date. Open a seal for its proof. A forecast counts in the score only when its seal is anchored on a chain before its outcome was known. A forecast is not advice.

Committed 2026-11-06

cloud://home/user-commandagi/companies/augury/runs/20261106t172549z-c4a6
Question, rule and checkProbabilityClosesStanding
Will CoinGecko report Bitcoin at or above USD 80,000 at 18:00 UTC on 31 December 2026?At 2026-12-31T18:00:00Z, sample https://api.coingecko.com/api/v3/simple/price?ids=bitcoin,ethereum&vs_currencies=usd once. Yes if the JSON number at /bitcoin/usd is >= 80000; no if it is < 80000. This is CoinGecko's quoted spot value at the closing sample, not an exchange candle or a daily high. Preserve the closing response: later live responses do not settle this question. A failed request or missing/non-numeric value is an unresolved observation, not no.api.coingecko.com /bitcoin/usd >= 8000040%Open
Will Frankfurter's latest published EUR/USD reference rate be at least 1.15 at 18:00 UTC on 31 December 2026?At 2026-12-31T18:00:00Z, sample https://api.frankfurter.dev/v1/latest?base=EUR&symbols=USD once. Yes if the JSON number at /rates/USD is >= 1.15; no if it is < 1.15. The rate is US dollars per one euro. Use the latest published observation in that response, including its reported date, even if the reference-rate publication calendar leaves an earlier business day's rate. Preserve the closing response: later live responses do not settle this question. A failed request or missing/non-numeric value is unresolved, not no.api.frankfurter.dev /rates/USD >= 1.1525%Open
Will Kubernetes' GitHub latest release tag differ from v1.37.2 at 18:00 UTC on 30 November 2026?At 2026-11-30T18:00:00Z, sample https://api.github.com/repos/kubernetes/kubernetes/releases/latest once. Yes if the string at /tag_name differs from v1.37.2; no if it equals v1.37.2. GitHub's latest-release designation is authoritative; publication of a prerelease alone does not count unless this endpoint designates it latest. A rollback to another tag counts as yes. Preserve the closing response: later changes do not settle this question. A failed request or missing/non-string value is unresolved, not no.api.github.com /tag_name != "v1.37.2"90%Open
  • Seal 2a1d6ad943552f7ff…in the contract log (not anchored on a chain), 2026-11-06 17:39:47 UTC.
  • Seal 4fea6d59ad0b27183…in the contract log (not anchored on a chain), 2026-11-06 17:39:47 UTC.
  • Seal 667993a6e1ac22652…in the contract log (not anchored on a chain), 2026-11-06 17:39:47 UTC.

No forecast has resolved yet.

Checked against https://api.commandagi.com on 2026-11-06. The record